Manny Ita –
The Nigerian Meteorological Agency has issued a cautionary advisory to farmers across the country, warning that the onset of early rainfall in several regions may be misleading and could result in significant agricultural losses if planting begins too soon.
In its latest weather outlook, the agency stressed that the current rains being experienced in parts of the country do not signal the full establishment of the rainy season, describing them as “deceptive” and inconsistent. According to NiMet, such early precipitation is often followed by prolonged dry spells, which can severely affect germination and early crop development.
“Farmers are strongly advised not to commence full planting based on the initial rains being observed,” the agency stated, noting that premature planting could expose crops to moisture stress and ultimately lead to failure. It added that the proper onset of rains is usually marked by sustained and consistent precipitation over a defined period, which has not yet been established in many areas.
The agency emphasized that the variability in rainfall patterns is a growing concern, driven in part by climate change and shifting atmospheric conditions. It warned that reliance on isolated rainfall events, rather than scientifically monitored seasonal forecasts, increases the risk of poor harvests and food insecurity.
NiMet further urged stakeholders in the agricultural sector to rely on its Seasonal Climate Prediction and other official advisories before making planting decisions. “Adherence to climate information and early warning systems remains critical for maximizing yield and minimizing losses,” the statement read.
Farmers were also encouraged to adopt climate-smart agricultural practices, including staggered planting and the use of drought-resistant crop varieties, to mitigate the risks associated with erratic rainfall patterns.
The warning comes at a critical time as many farmers prepare for the new planting season, with expectations high for improved yields following previous challenges linked to weather extremes. Agricultural experts say that careful timing, guided by accurate meteorological data, will be essential in ensuring a successful farming cycle this year.


